The US Bureau of Economic Analysis estimated that real GDP contracted at an annualized rate of 0.3 percent in Q1 2025, the first negative reading since Q1 2022. The April 29 GDPNow nowcasts were well ...

The climbing limo method is a very simple forecasting technique that projects the level of GDP some three quarters into the future using the nominal GDP figures from five quarters and three quarters ...

Are professional economists truly objective when forecasting economic projections? New research from Wake Forest University suggests otherwise, revealing a subtle yet powerful influence of political ...

FRANKFURT (Reuters) -A ChatGPT analysis of qualitative commentary in PMI releases can significantly improve GDP forecasting, a paper published by the European Central Bank of Thursday showed. The ECB ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Markets Rose Modestly Despite Weak GDP And Tariff Concerns Starbucks Slumps, Caterpillar Gains On Mixed Earnings And Outlook ...

The economy contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter, according to the official report on Gross Domestic Product. Widespread worry about consumers and businesses postponing purchases and hiring ...

The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow forecasting model has done a complete 180 over the past two months. Uncertainty regarding President Trump's tariff policy, coupled with the third highest valuation premium for ...

U.S. economic growth slowed more than expected in the fourth quarter of 2025, impacted by the government shutdown and ...

The central bank said it expects gross domestic product to expand 1.6% in 2026, up from its previous estimate of 1.1%.

The California Lutheran University Center for Economic Research and Forecasting released its annual forecast on Feb. 24 at an ...

The field of economic models and forecasting encompasses the development and application of theoretical, empirical and computational frameworks to predict future economic outcomes. These models range ...

Talk about hope triumphing over experience. The IMF has a long and dismal economic forecasting record. Yet, twice a year it still comes out with a World Economic Outlook report that purports to tell ...