The bank said rising volumes, tighter market structure and early institutional engagement are pushing prediction markets ...

Apps that let people wager on current events have experienced explosive growth in Trump's second term. But one of the leading ...

To his credit, Kasy is a realist here. He doesn’t presume that any of these proposals will be easy to implement. Or that it will happen overnight, or even in the near future. The troubling question at ...

Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are booming, and so is a fight among regulators, lawmakers, and advocates over ...

The rise in prediction markets raises critical questions for the future of democracy. In order to ensure that trust and ...

A new report from the Federal Reserve indicates that prediction markets can be a valuable tool for researchers and policymakers in terms of providing rich, frequently updated probabilities regarding ...

Mathematicians may have a better way to measure agreement across different datasets. Agreement affects reproducibility, meta-analysis, and prediction to fill in missing data points. We need a more ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Nathan Goldman is a tax prof. at NC State Univ. The usage of prediction markets to make bets has grown exponentially, with names ...

Here’s what you’ll learn when you read this story: Mathematicians may have a better way to measure agreement across different datasets. Agreement affects reproducibility, meta-analysis, and prediction ...