Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

Is the US labor market in the calm before the storm? Economists say the Beveridge curve is the signal to watch.

Every week I post an update on unemployment claims shortly after the BLS report is made available. Our focus is the four-week moving average of this rather volatile indicator. To no surprise, the ...

The Federal Reserve’s recent forecast on unemployment trends has sparked a significant debate among economists and financial analysts. The Fed’s prediction that unemployment will continue to rise ...

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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) remains rated a buy, but I urge vigilance due to unprecedented, gradual rises in U.S. unemployment. Current labor market deterioration—across U-3, U-5, and U-6 rates—is ...